Showing 1 - 10 of 48
difficulties for congestion forecasting due to the unpredictable nature of the energy source. This paper proposes to enhance the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008790801
sustainable is Vietnam's electricity development? What are the major factors explaining its performance relative to other Asian … examine how far the costs could affect on the electricity cost in Vietnam. In sensitivity analysis, the paper assesses the … impacts of international coal price's fluctuations on the electricity price and the trade balance of Vietnam. The study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698399
This paper aims at understanding and assessing the main methods proposed by ETSO and EuroPEX [1] to define and allocate interconnection capacities in Europe. We model these methods and evaluate their technical and economic efficiency on a 7-node network. We find first, that, unsurprisingly, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008789405
This paper aims to investigate the transition to a new energy system based on hydrogen in the European liberalized framework. After analyzing the literature on the hydrogen infrastructure needs in Europe, we estimate the size and scope of the transition challenge.We take the theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792179
__Abstract__ The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects … for forecasting weekly and monthly horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274348
installed based information and provide several ways in which installed base forecasting can be used. We discuss cases of … installed based forecasting at four companies and list the issues involved. Moreover, we provide some models to assess the value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837719
Forecasts of key macroeconomic variables may lead to policy changes of governments, central banks and other economic agents. Policy changes in turn lead to structural changes in macroeconomic time series models. To describe this phenomenon we introduce a logistic smooth transition autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837733
Experts may have domain-specific knowledge that is not included in a statistical model and that can improve forecasts. While one-step-ahead forecasts address the conditional mean of the variable, model-based forecasts for longer horizons have a tendency to convert to the unconditional mean of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837737
-of-sample forecasting exercise to study money-income Granger causality, both linear and nonlinear, we believe is new to the literature. The … forecasting results do not suggest that money is nonlinearly Granger causal for output. In fact, they show that by allowing money … to nonlinearly Granger cause output, the forecasting performance of the STVECM is significantly worsened. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837854
(p) model for all forecast horizons and different AR models for different horizons. Representation, estimation and forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837899