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Principal portfolios
Kelly, Bryan T.; Malamud, Semyon; Pedersen, Lasse Heje - 2020 - This version: June 8, 2020
We propose a new asset-pricing framework in which all securities' signals are used to predict each individual return. While the literature focuses on each security's own- signal predictability, assuming an equal strength across securities, our framework is flexible and includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271188
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A diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure
Gagliardini, Patrick; Ossola, Elisa; Scaillet, Olivier - 2016 - This version: July 2016
We build a simple diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure in large panel datasets. Given observable factors, the criterion checks whether the errors are weakly cross-sectionally correlated or share at least one unobservable common factor (interactive effects). A general version...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518993
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Regression-Based Estimation of Dynamic Asset Pricing Models
Adrian, Tobias - 2014
We propose regression-based estimators for beta representations of dynamic asset pricing models with an affine pricing kernel specification. We allow for state variables that are cross-sectional pricing factors, forecasting variables for the price of risk, and factors that are both. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068063
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The Equity Risk Premium : A Review of Models
Duarte, Fernando - 2015
We estimate the equity risk premium (ERP) by combining information from twenty models. The ERP in 2012 and 2013 reached …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017426
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Risk-Free Rates and Convenience Yields Around the World
Diamond, William; Van Tassel, Peter - 2022
This paper constructs risk-free interest rates implicit in index option prices for ten of the major G11 currencies. We compare these rates to the yields of government bonds to provide international estimates of the convenience yield earned by safe assets. Average convenience yields across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030002
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Asset allocation and risk taking under different interest rate regimes
Hermans, Lieven; Kostka, Thomas; Vassallo, Danilo - 2023
We study the effects of low short-term interest rates on the optimal portfolio allocation in Markowitz portfolios and Risk parity portfolios. We propose a measure of Portfolio Instability, gauging the amount of optimal portfolio shifts needed to respond to exogenous shocks to the expected risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278642
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Cognitive biases, ambiguity aversion and asset pricing in financial markets
Asparouhova, Elena; Bossaerts, Peter L.; Eguia, Jon; … - 2010 - This version: March 2010
with those under asymmetric information, and present experimental evidence in favor of our theory. The Efficient Markets … Hypothesis and its formal foundation, the Rational Expectations Equilibrium, predict that asymmetric information is irrelevant … because prices correctly aggregate all available information. We argue here that asymmetric reasoning is fundamentally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003970453
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Is the price kernel monotone?
Barone-Adesi, Giovanni; Dall'O, Hakim - 2010
We provide a new method to derive the state price density per unit probability based on option prices and GARCH model. We derive the risk neutral distribution using the result in Breeden and Litzenberger (1978) and the historical density adapting the GARCH model of Barone-Adesi, Engle, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973040
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Hedge fund stock trading in the financial crisis of 2007 - 2009
Ben-David, Itzhak; Franzoni, Francesco; Moussawi, Rabih - 2011 - Rev. version May 2011
Hedge funds significantly reduced their equity holdings during the recent financial crisis. In 2008Q3-Q4, hedge funds sold about 29% of their aggregate portfolio. Redemptions and margin calls were the primary drivers of selloffs. Consistent with forced deleveraging, the selloffs took place in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009543
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Flights to Safety
Baele, Lieven - 2014
Using only daily data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety (FTS) episodes for 23 countries. On average, FTS days comprise less than 3% of the sample, and bond returns exceed equity returns by 2.5 to 4%. The majority of FTS events are country-specific not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051878