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We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term structure of nominal and real rates. We estimate the model over 1999-2016 on U.S. data for nominal and TIPS yields, the realized and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
while allowing for aggregate stochastic volatility. We find that the bulk of yield dynamics comes from short rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179422
In most countries, equity is a cheap source of funding for a country's largest financial institutions. On average, the stocks of the top 10% financial companies in a country account for over a quarter of total market capitalization, but these stocks earn returns that are significantly lower than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515871
This paper shows that FED policy announcements lead to a significant increase in international co-movement in the cross-section of equity and particularly sovereign CDS market. The effect is strongest for emerging markets, when the FED relaxes unconventionary monetary policies, and for countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874674
Using comprehensive data on London Interbank Offer Rate (Libor) submissions from 2001 through 2012, we document systematic evidence consistent with banks manipulating Libor to profit from Libor related positions and, to a degree, to signal their creditworthiness during the distressed times for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874766
we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247