This paper proposes a possible framework for identifying excessive investment. Based on this method, it finds evidence … that some types of investment are becoming excessive in China, particularly in inland provinces. In these regions, private … consumption has on average become more dependent on investment (rather than vice versa) and the impact is relatively short …

Now close to 50 percent of GDP, this paper assesses the appropriateness of China’s current investment levels. It … stand out, partly due to a surge in investment over the last decade. Moreover, its investment is significantly higher than …. However, because its investment is predominantly financed by domestic savings, a crisis appears unlikely when assessed against …