Showing 1 - 7 of 7
Why do asset price bubbles continue to appear in various markets? This paper provides an overview of recent literature on bubbles, with significant attention given to behavioral models and rational models with frictions. Unlike the standard rational models, the new literature is able to model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242201
Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242248
This paper (i) provides evidence on the procyclical investment behavior of major institutional investors during the … implications of procyclical behavior; and (iv) proposes a framework for sound investment practices for long-term investors. Such … procyclical investment behavior is understandable and may be considered rational from an individual institution’s perspective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242388
This paper proposes a possible framework for identifying excessive investment. Based on this method, it finds evidence … that some types of investment are becoming excessive in China, particularly in inland provinces. In these regions, private … consumption has on average become more dependent on investment (rather than vice versa) and the impact is relatively short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242435
We study the effects of a bank's engagement in trading. Traditional banking is relationship-based: not scalable, long-term oriented, with high implicit capital, and low risk (thanks to the law of large numbers). Trading is transactions-based: scalable, shortterm, capital constrained, and with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142044
Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sectorâ … estate investment in China—though a low-probability event—would be sizable, with large spillovers to a number of Chinaâ … and the rest of the G20 economies, we find that a 1-percent decline in China’s real estate investment would shave about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142057
Now close to 50 percent of GDP, this paper assesses the appropriateness of China’s current investment levels. It … stand out, partly due to a surge in investment over the last decade. Moreover, its investment is significantly higher than …. However, because its investment is predominantly financed by domestic savings, a crisis appears unlikely when assessed against …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142176