Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …

This paper proposes a possible framework for identifying excessive investment. Based on this method, it finds evidence … that some types of investment are becoming excessive in China, particularly in inland provinces. In these regions, private … consumption has on average become more dependent on investment (rather than vice versa) and the impact is relatively short …

Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sectorâ … estate investment in China—though a low-probability event—would be sizable, with large spillovers to a number of Chinaâ … and the rest of the G20 economies, we find that a 1-percent decline in China’s real estate investment would shave about …

Now close to 50 percent of GDP, this paper assesses the appropriateness of China’s current investment levels. It … stand out, partly due to a surge in investment over the last decade. Moreover, its investment is significantly higher than …. However, because its investment is predominantly financed by domestic savings, a crisis appears unlikely when assessed against …