reallocated from the private to the public sectors, reducing investment and deepening the recessions even further. To account for …. This implies that domestic debt purchases displace productive investment. The model shows that these purchases reduce …

Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …

Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sectorâ … estate investment in China—though a low-probability event—would be sizable, with large spillovers to a number of Chinaâ … and the rest of the G20 economies, we find that a 1-percent decline in China’s real estate investment would shave about …