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Macroeconomic costs of conflict are generally very large, with GDP per capita about 28 percent lower ten years after … conflict onset. This is overwhelmingly driven by private consumption, which falls by 25 percent ten years after conflict onset …. Conflict is also associated with dramatic declines in official trade, with exports (imports) estimated to be 58 (34) percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252077
within the group of multilateral donors. Post-conflict resolution, the third altruistic motive considered in the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010313624
While there is an extensive literature examining the economic impact of conflict and political instability … whether rising conflict and political instability globally over the past several decades led to increased occurrence of … associated with higher probability of systemic banking crises. Unsurprisingly, the duration of a conflict is positively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251282
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003443510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620973
This study focuses on identifying the main factors that influenced country-specific and aggregate demand for IMF concessional financing between 1986 and 2018 and makes within-period and out-of-period forecasts. We find that the external debt level, inflation, and real effective exchange rate are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487316