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The goal of the paper is to decompose gross exports/imports to/from Germany for seven selected economies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE): the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, and Slovakia for 2000 and 2014, to identify the role of German in absorbing, reflecting,...
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Using a large, original database of 385 politically connected firms under the Mubarak regime in Egypt, we document for the first time the negative impact of cronyism on economic growth. In the early 2000s, a policy shift in Egypt led to the expansion of crony activities into new, previously...
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This paper investigates whether codependence restrictions can be uniquely imposed on VAR and VEC models via the so …
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We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …
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This paper investigates macro-financial linkages in Egypt using two complementary methods, assessing the interaction between different macroeconomic aggregates and loan portfolio quality in a multivariate framework as well as through a panel vector autoregressive method that controls for...
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