substantial risk of depletion in finite time. (iv) Smoothing raises the risk of depletion after large negative financial returns …, though only modestly so. Risk reduction and withdrawal rates below expected returns are explored as remedies. Risk reduction … bounds on fiscal policy are needed for depletion risk to be eliminated. …

technologies under uncertainty. Specifically, given two technologies, one with lower costs at present, but the other with greater … uncertainty in the returns to R&D, how should one allocate the R&D budget? We develop a multi-stage stochastic dynamic programming … variance in the uncertainty in returns to R&D and with the skewness of the uncertainty. We also present an illustrative case …

This paper studies the pricing of volatility risk using the first-order conditions of a long-term equity investor who …

manage systematic mortality risks, namely self-insurance and risk transfer to purchasers of the annuity products. We … demonstrate that self-insurance leads to high loadings, so that households offered a choice would favor the risk transfer scheme …

Value at Risk has become the standard measure of market risk employed by financial institutions for both internal and … methodologies developed so far give satisfactory solutions. Interpreting Value at Risk as a quantile of future portfolio values … assumptions invoked by existing methodologies (such as normality or i.i.d. returns). The Conditional Value at Risk or CAViaR model …

While the traditional view of financial innovation emphasizes the risk sharing role of new financial assets, belief …. This paper investigates the effect of financial innovation on portfolio risks in an economy when both the risk sharing and … the possibilities for risk sharing. My main result shows that financial innovation also always increases the speculative …

uncertainty is time-varying, and (2) countries have heterogeneous exposures to a world aggregate shock. We embed these features in …

. Dynamically spread-weighting and risk-rebalancing positions improves performance. Equity, bond, FX, volatility, and downside …

options in defined contribution retirement plans. We document large differences in realized TDF returns and risk profiles … reflects optimal risk-taking by fund families with low market share, especially those entering the market after 2006. Using … plan-level data, we find little evidence that 401(k) plan sponsors match the risk profile of the TDFs in their plans to the …

nonelectronics subindex (NFNE) futures for cross hedging the price risk of stock sector indices traded on the Taiwan stock exchange … hedging strategy using only the NFNE futures. This shows the importance of hedging the global equity systematic risk of stock …