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Remittance flows and U.S. monetary policy

Machasio, Immaculate; Tillmann, Peter - 2021 - This version: October 27, 2021

Remittance inflows are driven by macroeconomic conditions in the home and the host economies, respectively. In this paper, we study the effect of U.S. monetary policy on remittance flows into economies in Latin American and the Caribbean. The role of Fed policy for remittances has not yet been...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694427

Central bank independence and conservatism under uncertainty : substitutes or complements?

Hefeker, Carsten; Zimmer, Blandine - 2010

This paper revisits the trade-of between central bank independence and conservatism using a New Keynesian model with uncertainty about the central banker's output gap target. It is shown that when this uncertainty is high, the trade-of no longer holds. In this case, the optimal combination...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950407

Forward guidance under the cost channel

Finck, David - 2020

A common finding in the literature is that forward guidance cannot be credible under discretionary policy as long as the zero lower bound is an one-off event. However, this is not the case when recurring episodes of zero interest rates are possible. In this paper, we contribute to this new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012153467

The Fed's perceived Phillips curve : vidence from individual FOMC forecasts

Tillmann, Peter - 2009

on individual forecasts for unemployment and inflation submitted by each individual FOMC member, which was recently made … policymakers were aware of these changes in real-time. -- inflation forecast ; NAIRU ; Phillips curve ; monetary policy ; Federal …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908176

Regime-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks : evidence from threshold vector autoregressions

Mandler, Martin - 2010

autoregressive model. In a high inflation regime the standard results from the literature obtain. In a low inflation regime output … shows no significant response to monetary policy while the inflation response is negative. The paper endogenously determines …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950519

Strategic forecasting on the FOMC

Tillmann, Peter - 2010

deciding about interest rate policy, members individually formulate regular inflation forecasts. This paper uncovers systematic … differences in individual inflation forecasts submitted by voting and non-voting members. Based on a data set with individual … forecasts recently made available it is shown that non-voters systematically overpredict inflation relative to the consensus …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962970

Monetary policy committee transparency : measurement, determinants, and economic effects

Hayo, Bernd; Mazhar, Ummad - 2011 - This version: 28 September 2011

inflation, quality of institutional setup, and extent of Internet use in a country are important determinants of MPCT. MPCT has … a robust and significantly negative impact on inflation variability, even after controlling for important macroeconomic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305845

Communicating with many tongues : FOMC speeches and US financial market reaction

Hayo, Bernd; Kutan, Ali Mustafa; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2008

This paper studies the effects of FOMC communication on U.S. financial markets’ returns and volatility using a GARCH model over the period from 1998 to 2006. We build a new data set that includes information on all FOMC speeches, post-meeting statements, monetary policy reports and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864447

Domestic or U.S. news : what drives Canadian financial markets?

Hayo, Bernd; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2009

Using a GARCH model, we study the effects of Canadian and U.S. central bank communication and macroeconomic news on Canadian bond, stock, and foreign exchange market returns and volatility. First, news in both categories and from both countries has an impact on all financial markets. Canadian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003849833

FOMC communication and emerging equity markets

Hayo, Bernd; Kutan, Ali Mustafa; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2009

Using a GARCH model, we study the effects of Federal Funds target rate changes and FOMC communication on emerging equity market returns and volatility over the period 1998–2006. First, both types of news have a significant impact on market returns. Second, target rate changes are more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852244