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We aim to assess the impact of a pandemic data point on the calibration of a stochastic multi-population mortality projection model and its resulting projections for future mortality rates. Throughout the paper, we put focus on the Li and Lee mortality model, which has become a standard for...
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inefficiently. In this article, the authors examine chosen methods of forecasting regional government revenue. In addition to … classical forecasting models based on time series and causal models, an original structural forecasting procedure was proposed … other researchers, which indicated that less comprehensive methods of forecasting can provide reasonably accurate estimates. …
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This paper aims to analyze the most relevant methods to determine the financial capacity of innovation projects and identify potential ways of their improvement. The research helped to propose an alternative methodology to assess the financial capacity of innovation projects by charting an...
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The prediction of human longevity levels in the future by direct forecasting of life expectancy offers numerous …
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Recently, the interest of the academic literature on sports statistics has increased enormously. In such a framework, two of the most significant challenges are developing a model able to beat the existing approaches and, within a betting market framework, guarantee superior returns than the set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293119
Much of the debate around a potential British exit (Brexit) from the European Union has centred on the potential macroeconomic impact. In this paper, we instead focus on understanding market expectations for price action around the Brexit referendum date. Extracting implied distributions from...
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