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This paper investigates the volatility of daily returns on the Romanian stock market between January 2020 and April 2021. Volatility is analyzed by means of the representative index for Bucharest Stock Exchange (BSE), namely, the Bucharest Exchange Trading (BET) index, along with twelve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626337
reasons:(1) the shocks are serially correlated arid hence partially forecast able from their past history, (2) each trader … an infinite regress problem in expectations associated with their desire to forecast the beliefs of others, the beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477178
of a high-frequency series. Based on the theory of temporal aggregation, we provide the link between the spectral density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012321959
This paper introduces Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Long Memory Stock Transaction Data of unknown underlying distribution. The moments with conditional heteroscedasticity have been discussed. In a Monte Carlo experiment, it was found that the QML estimator performs as well as CLS and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022130
In this paper, we propose a general family of Birnbaum–Saunders autoregressive conditional duration (BS-ACD) models based on generalized Birnbaum-Saunders (GBS) distributions, denoted by GBS-ACD. We further generalize these GBS-ACD models by using a Box-Cox transformation with a shape parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174138
This article aims to forecast the information trends related to the most popular cyberattacks, seen as the cyber …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284116
for assets will remain high when the baby boomers retire. Based on his forecast of continued high demand for capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470598
Intraday high-frequency data of stock returns exhibit not only typical characteristics (e.g., volatility clustering and the leverage effect) but also a cyclical pattern of return volatility that is known as intraday seasonality. In this paper, we extend the stochastic volatility (SV) model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520275
Financial data (e.g., intraday share prices) are recorded almost continuously and thus take the form of a series of curves over the trading days. Those sequentially collected curves can be viewed as functional time series. When we have a large number of highly correlated shares, their intraday...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626347
Recent research documents that aggregate stock prices are driven by shocks with persistence levels ranging from daily intervals to several decades. Building on these insights, we introduce a parsimonious equilibrium model in which regime-shifts of heterogeneous durations affect the volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467238