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Covered Interest Parity Deviations : Macrofinancial Determinants
Cerutti, Eugenio - 2019
This paper studies how several macrofinancial factors are associated over time with the evolution of covered interest parity (CIP) deviations in the decade after the Global Financial Crisis. Changes in a number of risk- and policy-related factors have a significant association with the evolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865278
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The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility
Heckman, James J. - 2014
This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058273
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The Logic of Currency Crises
Obstfeld, Maurice - 2021
Once one recognizes that governments borrow international reserves and exercise other policy options to defend fixed exchange rates during currency crises, the question arises: What factors determine a government's decision to abandon a currency peg or hang on? In a setting of purposeful action...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213429
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Capital Flows, the Current Account, and the Real Exchange Rate : Consequences of Liberalization and Stabilization
Obstfeld, Maurice - 2021
This paper develops a dynamic framework in which macroeconomic liberalization and stabilization measures of the type recently seen in Latin America can be studied. The model is sufficiently general to cover both polar cases of a closed capital account and free private capital mobility, so the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243955
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Monetary Sovereignty, Exchange Rates, and Capital Controls : The Trilemma in the Interwar Period
Obstfeld, Maurice - 2012
disorder in the world economy. The interwar disorder often is linked to policies inconsistent with the constraint of the open … yield. This historical analytic narrative is compelling with significant ramifications for today's world, if true but … empirically controversial. We apply theory and empirics to the interwar data and find strong support for the logic of the trilemma …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755788
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Identification Problems in Personality Psychology
Borghans, Lex - 2011
This paper discusses and illustrates identification problems in personality psychology. The measures used by psychologists to infer traits are based on behaviors, broadly defined. These behaviors are produced from multiple traits interacting with incentives in situations. In general, measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127766
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Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation
Auerbach, Alan J. - 2011
Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short-term nominal interest rate renders open-market operations ineffective for achieving macroeconomic stabilization goals. In an earlier paper, we showed that this reasoning does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133109
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Tests of Hypotheses Arising in the Correlated Random Coefficient Model
Heckman, James J. - 2010
This paper examines the correlated random coefficient model. It extends the analysis of Swamy (1971, 1974), who pioneered the uncorrelated random coefficient model in economics. We develop the properties of the correlated random coefficient model and derive a new representation of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137320
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Testing the Correlated Random Coefficient Model
Heckman, James J. - 2012
The recent literature on instrumental variables (IV) features models in which agents sort into treatment status on the basis of gains from treatment as well as on baseline-pretreatment levels. Components of the gains known to the agents and acted on by them may not be known by the observing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116685
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Intergenerational Long Term Effects of Preschool - Structural Estimates from a Discrete Dynamic Programming Model
Heckman, James J. - 2013
This paper formulates a structural dynamic programming model of preschool investment choices of altruistic parents and then empirically estimates the structural parameters of the model using the NLSY79 data. The paper finds that preschool investment significantly boosts cognitive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081261