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Foreign Currency Debt, Financial Crises and Economic Growth : A Long Run View

Bordo, Michael D. - 2009

Foreign currency debt is widely believed to increase risks of financial crisis, especially after being implicated as a cause of the East Asian crisis in the late 1990s. In this paper, we study the effects of foreign currency debt on currency and debt crises and its indirect short and long run...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463115

Credit Crises, Money and Contractions : an historical view

Bordo, Michael D. - 2009

The relatively infrequent nature of major credit distress events makes an historical approach particularly useful. Using a combination of historical narrative and econometric techniques, we identify major periods of credit distress from 1875 to 2007, examine the extent to which credit distress...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463261

Fiscal and Financial Crises

Bordo, Michael D. - 2016

Interconnections between banking crises and fiscal crises have a long history. We document the long-run evolution from classic banking panics towards modern banking crises where financial guarantees are associated with crisis resolution. Recent crises feature a feedback loop between bank...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456615

Measuring Real Economic Effects of Bailouts : Historical Perspectives on How Countries in Financial Distress Have Fared With and Without Bailouts

Bordo, Michael D. - 2000

In this paper we first trace the changing nature of banking, currency and debt crises from the last century to the present. Each type of crisis has transmogrified in the presence of official intervention and the creation of a safety net. A similar pattern is observed for international rescue...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471060

Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

Ha, Jongrim - 2020

We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479322

On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks

Caballero, Ricardo J. - 2019

Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. Policy responses were more complex for developed economies with very low interest rates after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We document, however,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479979

The Transformation and Performance of Emerging Market Economies Across the Great Divide of the Global Financial Crisis

Bordo, Michael D. - 2019

The process of central bank (CB) evolution by emerging market economies (EMEs), including central bank independence (CBI) and transparency (CBT), converged towards that of the advanced economies (AEs) before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007-2008. It was greatly aided by the adoption of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480286

The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-08 : Is it Unprecedented?

Bordo, Michael D. - 2010

In terms of global incidence the recent crisis is fourth in ranking and comparable to 1907-08. We also calculate output losses during the recessions associated with global financial crises and again the recent crisis is similar in severity to 1907-08 and is fourth in ranking. On both dimensions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462068

Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the Crisis : An Update

Rose, Andrew K. - 2010

We update Rose and Spiegel (2009a, b) and search for simple quantitative models of macroeconomic and financial indicators of the "Great Recession" of 2008-09. We use a cross-country approach and examine a number of potential causes that have been found to be successful indicators of crisis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462412

The "Other" Imbalance and the Financial Crisis

Caballero, Ricardo J. - 2010

the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463014