Showing 1 - 10 of 43
We use the structure of the Melitz (2003) model to compare the cost of living and welfare across countries, while incorporating product variety measured by the count of barcodes or firms. For 47 countries, we compare welfare relative to the United States to conventional measures of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510589
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479322
Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. Policy responses were more complex for developed economies with very low interest rates after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We document, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479979
This report, prepared for the Committee on Economic Statistics of the American Economic Association, examines the state of available data for the study of international trade and foreign direct investment. Data on values of imports and exports of goods are of high quality and coverage, but price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462401
the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463014
, however, is that there seem to be certain "threshold" levels of financial and institutional development that an economy needs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463732
behind this crisis is the large demand for riskless assets from the rest of the world. In this paper we present a model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463959
Economic theory has identified a number of channels through which openness to international financial flows could raise productivity growth. However, while there is a vast empirical literature analyzing the impact of financial openness on output growth, far less attention has been paid to its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464090
In this paper we argue that the persistent global imbalances, the subprime crisis, and the volatile oil and asset prices that followed it, are tightly interconnected. They all stem from a global environment where sound and liquid financial assets are in scarce supply
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464126
This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups -- industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464278