Showing 1 - 10 of 13
The volatility of the world economy since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods par value system of exchange rates has led … characteristics of a number of alternative monetary arrangements using a large-scale simulation model of the world economy. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477046
This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups -- industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464278
This paper identifies factors that influence decisions about a country's financial safety net, using a comprehensive dataset covering 180 countries during the 1960-2003 period. Our analysis focuses on how private interest-group pressures, outside influences, and political-institutional factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465794
Emerging economies experience sudden stops in capital inflows. As we have argued in Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2002), having access to monetary policy during these sudden stops is useful, but mostly for insurance' rather than for aggregate demand reasons. In this environment, a central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469099
insurance has had adverse effects in environments that are low in political and economic freedom and high in corruption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469384
There is increasing empirical evidence that creative destruction, driven by experimentation and the adoption of new products and processes when investment is sunk, is a core mechanism of development. Obstacles to this process are likely to be obstacles to the progress in standards of living....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470894
One of the surprising features of modern economic growth is that economies with abundant natural resources have tended to grow less rapidly than natural-resource-scarce economies. In this paper we show that economies with a high ratio of natural resource exports to GDP in 1971 (the base year)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473469
Many of the crucial debates in development economics are encapsulated in the question of economic convergence. Is there a tendency for the poorer countries to grow more rapidly than the richer countries, and thereby to converge in living standards? Some recent research on endogenous growth has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473854
This paper presents the theoretical underpinnings of the MSG2 simulation model of the world economy. The MSG2 model is … a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy which pays particular attention to the relation between stocks … version presented here the world is divided into the U.S., Japan, Germany, the rest of the EMS, and the rest of the OECD, non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475945
intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455847