Showing 1 - 10 of 32
Pooled annuity products, where the participants share systematic and idiosyncratic mortality risks as well as investment returns and risk, provide an attractive and effective alternative to traditional guaranteed life annuity products. While longevity risk sharing in pooled annuities has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363078
The paper seeks to answer the question of how price forecasting can contribute to which techniques gives the most accurate results in the futures commodity market. A total of two families of models (decision trees, artificial intelligence) were used to produce estimates for 2018 and 2022 for 21-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233184
This paper introduces and studies a new family of diffusion models for stock prices with applications in portfolio optimization. The diffusion model combines (stochastic) elasticity of volatility (EV) and stochastic volatility (SV) to create the SEV-SV model. In particular, we focus on the SEV...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014234313
This paper features an analysis of the relative effectiveness, in terms of the Adjusted R-Square, of a variety of methods of modelling realized volatility (RV), namely the use of Gegenbauer processes in Auto-Regressive Moving Average format, GARMA, as opposed to Heterogenous Auto-Regressive HAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014393082
The relevance of the development is determined by the possibility of testing a complex analytical methodology for forecasting the daily volatility of Bulgarian investment funds, which will support the investment community in making adequate investment decisions. The used risk attribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436423
In this paper we consider the problem of an insurance company where the wealth of the insurer is described by a Cramér-Lundberg process. The insurer is allowed to invest in a risky asset with stochastic volatility subject to the influence of an economic factor and the remaining surplus in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865623
One of the key components of financial risk management is risk measurement. This typically requires modeling, estimating and forecasting tail-related quantities of the asset returns’ conditional distribution. Recent advances in the financial econometrics literature have developed several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866456
It is impossible to discriminate between the commonly used stochastic volatility models of Heston, log-normal, and 3-over-2 on the basis of exponentially weighted averages of daily returns—even though it appears so at first sight. However, with a 5-min sampling frequency, the models can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866497
In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Hyperbolic EGARCH (A-HYEGARCH) model to estimate the long memory of high frequency time series with potential structural breaks. Based on the original HYGARCH model, we use the logarithm transformation to ensure the positivity of conditional variance. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011811728
This study aims to investigate the impact of financial stress and uncertainty on the returns of green and conventional bonds and stocks in the United States from 2010 to 2022. The research utilizes nonlinear and nonparametric analysis, which includes the quantile-on-quantile and nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065766