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Using a large, original database of 385 politically connected firms under the Mubarak regime in Egypt, we document for the first time the negative impact of cronyism on economic growth. In the early 2000s, a policy shift in Egypt led to the expansion of crony activities into new, previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544875
We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …
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In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243290
following econometric techniques OLS, VAR, TAR, GMM and VECM. The results showed a positive and significant, but weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298406
This paper uses a range of structural VARs to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1980 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011627039
The study has surveyed the post-Arab Spring youth employment policies that have been adopted in Egypt, Morocco, Jordan, and Tunisia. In addition, the study examines whether and how the economic policies implemented in these countries led to high levels of youth unemployment prior to the Arab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020135
This paper introduces a VAR with stochastic volatility in mean where the residuals of the volatility equations and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812167