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We test the menu cost model of Ball and Mankiw (1994, 1995) on data from the inflation and deflation periods in Japan … during both inflation and deflation, is strongly supported. The data are less clear on, but does not reject, the hypothesis … that the parameter on the standard deviation changes sign between inflation and deflation periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957306
The classical definition of inflation refers to increasing the quantity of money in circulation. However, in everyday … language, inflation is seen rather through the effects of monetary expansion, i.e. increasing prices. Therefore, the term … “inflation” generates a semantic confusion, for which could be responsible the omnipresence of consumer price index (CPI) in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010965606
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
understanding of and expand research on this topic. Given the importance of the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096824
This paper studies the role of credit market development in an economy with credit frictions. I examine how the provision of credit in connection with collateral assets affects both economic performance and business cycle volatility. First, I analyse the macroeconomic implications of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405059
two previous long economic expansions, using 31 variables on real activity, inflation, productivity, wages, profits …. Inflation was decreasing or stable, a fact which is new for the post-World War II period (but not for the longer historical … interest rates reflected mostly reductions in inflation and the national debt. Profit margins increased strongly. Still, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968046
We estimate a structural econometric model for the credit market in Italy, using bank-level information and the responses of Italian banks to the euro-area Bank Lending Survey to identify demand and supply, focusing on the recent financial crisis. The main results are the following. First, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099728
This paper presents a univariate model that analyzes systematic changes in the behavior of the business cycle in the Dominican Republic, capturing changes in average growth and identifying differences between contractions and expansions with respect to their persistence and duration. To do so,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110682
This paper describes the key features of the Moroccan business cycles during the period 1980:q1-2012:q1. In particular, this paper identifies the chronologies in classical and growth cycles (expansion and contraction phases and full cycles in real gross domestic product). Using the modified BB...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112049
In the wake of the Financial Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession several commentators have suggested that the analysis of financial instability provided by various strands of heterodox economics got it "right" and that mainstream economics got it "wrong". In this paper two variants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156996