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Ruin probabilities with dependence on the number of claims within a fixed time window
Constantinescu, Corina; Dai, Suhang; Ni, Weihong; … - In: Risks : open access journal 4 (2016) 2, pp. 1-23
We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival times depending on the claims that arrive within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative structure. The main inspiration of the model comes from the bonus-malus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507555
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Some Examples of 21st Century Philosophers Who Have Written About Keynes’s Logical Theory of Probability, but Have Skipped Part II of the A Treatise on Probability, Where Keynes Pr...
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020
the imprecise theory of probability long before Koopman's work in 1940 or the work of I. J. Good, C. Smith ,or H.E. Kyburg …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842021
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Keynesian Uncertainty Can Only Be Represented by Imprecise, Non Additive, Interval Valued Probability or Decision Weights Like Keynes’s C : Ordinal Probability Can’t Represent Keyn...
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020
probability, although Keynes's theory of probability can easily deal with ordinal probability with the aid of Keynes's principle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843351
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The Claim That the Diagram on Page 39 of Keynes’s a Treatise on Probability(1921) Represents ‘Keynes’s View of Probability’ (S. Bradley, 2019), Has No Support : It Represents a Ver...
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020
A major error in analyzing how Keynes operationalized his logical theory of probability in 1921 is to assume that … ordinal theory that could only be implemented some of the time.No philosopher has ever made this error until the publication …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844301
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Given B. De Finetti’s Conclusion that 'Probability (Objective) Does not Exist', Then Rational Expectations Does not Exist Either
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2018
existing theory of probability that supports the claims made by rational expectationists. There is no right(wrong), correct … theory of probability. Likewise, all objective theories of probability deny the existence of subjective probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908227
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Rational Expectations Has No Foundation in Any Coherent, Existing Theory of Probability
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2018
The theory of rational expectations has no foundation in any extant theory of probability. None of the five existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910371