Standard theoretical model cannot generate positive and large real bond risk premium under power utility preferences. Following recent developments in equity premium literature we explore bond premium in a long run risk environment with generalized isoleastic preferences. This approach explains...

Real interest rates, long run risks and business cycles. Standard theoretical model under power utility preferences generates time series for real yields and output that are not consistent with the cyclical properties of the macroeconomic data. In particular real interest rates of the model are...

In order to provide a tool for risk management improvement and appropriate regulation, a methodology for measuring interest rate risk is applied in this paper. After estimating and simulating the interest rate term structure, the value at risk and expected shortfall are calculated on a...

The document focuses on the econometric treatment of macro panels, known in literature as panel time series. This new approach rejects the assumption of slopes' homogeneity and handles nonstationarity. It also recognizes that the presence of cross-section dependence (CSD), i.e. some correlation...