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, the paper contrasts the data on the current deep recession with those in 1974-75 and 1992-93, at the times of the oil … recession of the 1930s. …
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recession occurred between February 1998 and April 1999, following the Asian currency and financial crisis. …
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Real interest rates, long run risks and business cycles. Standard theoretical model under power utility preferences generates time series for real yields and output that are not consistent with the cyclical properties of the macroeconomic data. In particular real interest rates of the model are...
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