Showing 1 - 10 of 55
We study the impact of providing school report cards with test scores on subsequent test scores, prices, and enrollment in markets with multiple public and private providers. A randomly selected half of our sample villages (markets) received report cards. This increased test scores by 0.11...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012702447
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely disregard the arrival of asset specific news (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
high capacity of forecast of the model structuralized for the development of the study. Admitting the forecasted values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446498
divergent information. We manipulate forecast ability so that two individuals are strong analysts and two are weak. In three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459094
characterize and forecast financial time series volatility in Pakistan. The comparison is carried out by comparing symmetric and … asymmetric GARCH models with normal and fat-tailed distributions for the innovations, over short and long forecast horizons. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861906
changes. The forecast of urban construction land is the important content of urban construction development, and guarantee for … selects GM (1, 1) model, linear model and non-linear model, to forecast the scale of construction land and each type of land …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010918982
-sample and the out-of-sample forecast of excess return. Our study departs from Lettau and Ludvigson (2001) in adding and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939417
In general, rational economic agents trade off the cost of waiting for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, on the one hand, and of making use of some model based predictions. Thus, from the viewpoint of agents, predictions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259931
forecasting future rents, this report investigates the process of property market forecast production with particular reference to … are strong grounds to expect that forecast outcomes are not the result of purely mechanical calculations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005146650