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How can the crisis vulnerability of emerging economies be reduced?
Abberger, Klaus; Bhattacharyay, Biswanath; Nam, Chang-woon - 2014 - May 2014
Emerging countries in many cases are more crisis-prone than highly developed industrialized countries. This is in many cases due to a weak or volatile financial sector. The best policy to strengthen crisis resistance is the building up of a sound financial position. A sound financial position of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824986
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The effect of policy uncertainty on investment plans : evidence from the unexpected acceptance of a far-reaching referendum in Switzerland
Abberger, Klaus; Dibiasi, Andreas; Siegenthaler, Michael; … - 2016 - This version: May 2016
Does increased policy uncertainty dampen investment plans of firms? We provide direct evidence on this question by … induced policy uncertainty have revised their investment plans differently from those that did not perceive an increase in … uncertainty. We find strong evidence that an increase in policy uncertainty does lead firms to reduce their investment plans. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458466
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The effect of policy uncertainty on investment plans : evidence from the unexpected acceptance of a far-reaching referendum in Switzerland
Abberger, Klaus; Dibiasi, Andreas; Siegenthaler, Michael; … - 2016 - This version: May 2016
Does increased policy uncertainty dampen investment plans of firms? We provide direct evidence on this question by … induced policy uncertainty have revised their investment plans differently from those that did not perceive an increase in … uncertainty. We find strong evidence that an increase in policy uncertainty does lead firms to reduce their investment plans. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011472000
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The use of qualitative business tendency surveys for forecasting business investment in Germany
Abberger, Klaus - 2005
Investment in equipment and machinery is a very important component of GDP. In this paper we examine whether data from … business tendency sur- veys are useful for a timely assessment of current investment behavior. In addition we investigate … whether the survey results are helpful for forecasting investment growth in the short run. The first question is addressed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008858476
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How to Define a Recession?
Abberger, Klaus; Nierhaus, Wolfgang - In: CESifo Forum 09 (2008) 4, pp. 74-76
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695917
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The global recession and the European turnaround
Abberger, Klaus - In: Intereconomics : review of European economic policy 46 (2011) 6, pp. 311-316
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692249
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The IFO Business Cycle Clock : Circular Correlation with the Real GDP
Abberger, Klaus - 2010
The IFO Business Climate is the most important indicator for the business cycle in Germany. In 1993 the connection between the two components of the business climate – business situation and business expectations – was graphically portrayed by Ifo in a 4-quadrant scheme: the IFO Business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137883
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Construction of Composite Business Cycle Indicators in a Sparse Data Environment
Abberger, Klaus - 2011
Business cycle indicators are important instruments for monitoring economic development. When employing indicators one usually relies on a sound statistical database. This paper deals with indicator development in a sparse data situation. Indicator building is merged with temporal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120906
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The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014 : A Composite Leading Indicator for the Swiss Business Cycle
Abberger, Klaus - 2014
This paper presents a composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle corresponding to the growth rate cycle concept. It is the result of a complete overhaul of the KOF Economic Barometer that has been published by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute on a monthly basis since 1976. In line...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057114
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Zur Produktionsbehinderung der Unternehmen im Konjunkturzyklus : eine Compositional-Data-Analyse
Abberger, Klaus; Nierhaus, Wolfgang - In: Ifo-Schnelldienst 72 (2019) 5, pp. 21-27
Einmal pro Quartal befragt das ifo Institut im Rahmen seiner laufenden Konjunkturumfragen die Unternehmen im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe, ob eine Produktionsbehinderung besteht und wenn ja, ob sich die Firmen eher vorgegebenen Angebots- oder Nachfragebeschränkungen gegenübersehen. Der vorliegende...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983739