This paper revisits and critically reevaluates the widely-accepted modernization hypothesis which claims that per capita income causes the creation and the consolidation of democracy. We argue that existing studies and support for this hypothesis because they fail to control for the presence of...

The RF Ministry of Economic Development presented three scenarios in its socioeconomic development forecast for 2016, which envisaged that the GDP decline trajectory would hit its lowest point in 2015 (-3.9%), and the rate of GDP growth would be fluctuating somewhere between (-1.0) and 2.3% in...

The results of the estimates obtained using the Gaidar Institute method of decomposing Russia's GDP growth rates show that in 2015 all of the components of economic growth rates will make them negative. Furthermore, the current economic contraction is mostly of structural nature induced by the...

The Gaidar Institute developed a comprehensive methodology for decomposing the growth rate of Russia's GDP into its structural, foreign trade and situational components, which is based on the same decompositin algorithm as applied in the analysis of macroeconomic indicators of the developed...

Calculations of decomposition of the RF GDP growth rates in 1999–2015 and the MED's forecast for 2016–2019 show that in current conditions cyclical components related to the domestic business cycle's entering the positive phase are the only source of economic growth. However, they alone are...

The Gaidar Institute has developed a method of decomposing Russia's GDP growth rates into the structural, foreign trade, and market-based components based on the decomposition algorithm decomposing macroeconomic indicators of developed countries (OECD). The algorithm has been refi ned to take...