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We propose two simple evaluation methods for time varying density forecasts of continuous higher dimensional random variables. Both methods are based on the probability integral transformation for unidimensional forecasts. The first method tests multinormal densities and relies on the rotation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138453
The paper examines the relationships among market assets during stressful times, using two recently proposed econometric modeling techniques for tail risk measurement: the extreme downside hedge (EDH) and the extreme downside correlation (EDC). We extend both measures taking into account the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839210
We present a framework focused on the interdependence of high-dimensional tail events. This framework allows us to analyse and quantify tail interdependence at different levels of extremity, decompose it into systemic and residual part and to measure the contribution of a constituent to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865245
Tail interdependence is defined as the situation where extreme outcomes for some variables are informative about such outcomes for other variables. We extend the concept of multi-information to quantify tail interdependence at different levels of extremity, decompose it into systemic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012369
The latest financial crisis has stressed the need of understanding the world financial system as a network of interconnected institutions, where financial linkages play a fundamental role in the spread of systemic risks. In this paper we propose to enrich the topological perspective of network...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856814
Evaluating multiple sources of risk is an important problem with many applications in finance and economics. In practice this evaluation remains challenging. We propose a simple non-parametric framework with several economic and statistical applications. In an empirical study, we illustrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059578
We define tail interdependence as a situation where extreme outcomes for some variables are informative about such outcomes for other variables. We extend the concept of multiinformation to quantify tail interdependence, decompose it into systemic and residual interdependence and measure the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248931
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012372947