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Korean Won / New Taiwan $ exchange rate and tourist arrivals from Korea to Taiwan, as well as their associated volatility … and Korean tourist arrivals, to test whether alternative estimates of conditional volatility are sensitive to the long … memory in the conditional mean, and to examine asymmetry and leverage in volatility. The empirical results show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154681
their associated volatility. The sample period includes the Asian economic and financial crises in 1997, and part of the … whether alternative short and long run estimates of conditional volatility are sensitive to the approximate long memory in the … conditional mean, to examine asymmetry and leverage in volatility, and to examine the effects of temporal and spatial aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147805
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
To gain insights in the current status of the economy, macroeconomic time series are often decomposed into trend, cycle and irregular components. This can be done by nonparametric band-pass filtering methods in the frequency domain or by model-based decompositions based on autoregressive moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346480
To gain insights in the current status of the economy, macroeconomic time series are often decomposed into trend, cycle and irregular components. This can be done by nonparametric band-pass filtering methods in the frequency domain or by model-based decompositions based on autoregressive moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062862
The purpose of the paper is to present the fundamental equation in tourism finance that connects tourism research to empirical finance and financial econometrics. The energy industry, which includes, oil, gas and bio-energy fuels, together with the tourism industry, are two of the most important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391546
prices, returns and volatility of related agricultural commodities. Analyzing the spillover effects on agricultural …. The purpose of this paper is to examine the volatility spillovers for spot and futures returns on bio-ethanol and related … agricultural commodities, specifically corn and sugarcane, using the multivariate diagonal BEKK conditional volatility model. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441704
The purpose of the paper is to present the fundamental equation in tourism finance that connects tourism research to empirical finance and financial econometrics. The energy industry, which includes, oil, gas and bio-energy fuels, together with the tourism industry, are two of the most important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545065
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers … the stochastic volatility model with asymmetry and long memory, using high frequency data for the underlying asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590424
This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906234