-Euro period or by using just data from Germany for the pre-Euro period. Our forecast comparison is based on quarterly data for the … nonlinear or time-varying coefficient models. It turns out that most variables which have a similar level for Germany and the … that for variables which have a similar level for Germany and the Euro-area it may be reasonable to consider the German pre …

constructed for Germany and Switzerland. We use these indices in order to track the business cycle dynamics in these two countries … of Economic Sentiment for Germany, and the KOF Economic Barometer and the Purchasing Managers Index in manufacturing for … Economics Inc.) for Switzerland, whereas we reach the opposite conclusion for Germany. In fact, the accuracy of the consensus …

households and account for a large proportion of bank lending. In Germany, the housing accounts for more than a half of wealth of … increases have been observed in Germany. This raised doubts and fears in German society. On the one hand, it is feared that … Germany can follow the path of Spain, Ireland, and other bubble countries that ended in a severe economic crisis. On the other …

Based on annual data for growth and inflation forecasts for Germany covering the time span from 1970 to 2007 and up to …