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The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms
Johansen, Søren; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard - 2016
In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive uni ed treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model Xt = γZt + Yt, where Zt belongs to a large class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517008
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The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms
Johansen, Søren; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard - 2016
In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive unified treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model Xt = ᵧZt + Yt, where Zt belongs to a large class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583206
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Likelihood inference for a fractionally conitegrated vector autoregressive model
Johansen, Søren; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003968441
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Likelihood inference for a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive model
Johansen, Søren; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003968607
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Numerical distribution functions of fractional unit root and cointegration tests
MacKinnon, James G.; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008651639
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Forecasting daily political opinion polls using the fractionally cointegrated VAR model
Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard; Shibaev, Sergei S. - 2015
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The model is applied to daily polling data of political support in the United Kingdom for 2010 - 2015. We compare with popular competing models and at various forecast horizons. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279787
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A fractionally cointegrated VAR analysis of price discovery in commodity futures markets
Dolatabadi, Sepideh; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard; Xu, Ke - 2014
-unit cointegration coefficient. Price discovery can be analyzed in the FCVAR model by a relatively straightforward examination of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381431
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A fractionally cointegrated VAR model with deterministic trends and application to commodity futures markets
Dolatabadi, Sepideh; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard; Xu, Ke - 2014
for the cointegration rank test are also brie y discussed. In our empirical application we use the data from Figuerola … conclusion from the empirical analysis is that, when using the FCVAR model, there is more support for the cointegration vector (1 …-run backwardation, compared to the results from the non-fractional model. Specifically, we reject the hypothesis that the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381434
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A fractionally cointegrated VAR analysis of economic voting and political support
Jones, Maggie E. C.; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard; … - 2014
We use a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive model to examine the relationship between Canadian political support and macroeconomic conditions. This model is well suited for the analysis because it allows multiple fractional time series and admits simple asymptotic inference for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364647
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The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms
Johansen, Søren; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524104