Showing 1 - 10 of 31
We estimate demand, supply, monetary, investment and financial shocks in a VAR identified with a minimum set of sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420573
Out-of-sample forecasting tests of DSGE models against time-series benchmarks such as an unrestricted VAR are … improve forecasts from an unrestricted VAR. In testing forecasting capacity they also have quite weak power, particularly on … improve on VAR forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504446
In this paper we investigate the role of news shocks in aggregate fluctuations by comparing the empirical performance of models with and without the feature of the news shocks. We found a trivial difference between the two models. That is, the model with news shocks explains the variation as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787141
and Sack (2003) to identify and estimate a VAR in the presence of heteroskedasticity. This procedure fully takes into … account the endogeneity of interest rates and stock returns that is ignored in the traditional VAR literature. We find a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143687
We estimate demand, supply, monetary, investment and financial shocks in a VAR identified with a minimum set of sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143847
We propose a new VAR identification scheme that enables us to disentangle labour supply shocks from wage bargaining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143863
We propose a new VAR identification scheme that enables us to disentangle immigration shocks from other macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143896
Indirect inference testing can be carried out with a variety of auxiliary models. Asymptotically these different models make no difference. However, the small sample properties can differ. We explore small sample power and estimation bias both with different variable combinations and descriptive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429960
We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments and other features with data equivalents. We note that they select, scale and characterise the shocks without reference to the data; crucially they fail to use the joint distribution of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288773
We calibrate a standard New Keynesian model with three alternative representations of monetary policy- an optimal timeless rule, a Taylor rule and another with interest rate smoothing- with the aim of testing which if any can match the data according to the method of indirect inference. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288782