Showing 71 - 80 of 94
In this paper we consider some of the economic implications of climate change scenarios as described in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). By comparing potential water demand with estimates of (sustainable) water availability in different regions, we identify regions that are likely to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998178
An integrated assessment model is used to simulate the introduction of various emissions trading schemes based on the Kyoto protocol on the reduction of greenhouse emissions. The implications of the various systems in terms of income distribution are illustrated, and it is claimed that the issue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172835
This article uses a sequentialized experimental design to select simulation input combinations for global optimization …/output data of the simulation model (computer code). This design and analysis adapt the classic "expected improvement" (EI) in … estimator uses parametric bootstrapping. Classic EI and bootstrapped EI are compared through various test functions, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014185812
underlying simulation models; such metamodels serve sensitivity analysis and optimization, especially for computationally … expensive simulations. In practice, simulation analysts often know that the I/O function is monotonic. To obtain a Kriging … metamodel that preserves this known shape, this article uses bootstrapping (or resampling). Parametric bootstrapping assuming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203752
This paper presents a novel heuristic for constrained optimization of random computer simulation models, in which one … of the simulation outputs is selected as the objective to be minimized while the other outputs need to satisfy … prespecified target values. Besides the simulation outputs, the simulation inputs must meet prespecified constraints including the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212782
of the simulation responses, and introduce a new variant with the following two features: (1) this variant uses intrinsic …. As a novel metamodel we introduce intrinsic Kriging, for either deterministic or random simulation. For deterministic … simulation we study the famous 'e fficient global optimization' (EGO) method, substituting intrinsic Kriging for universal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014141513
replications that varies with the input combination of the simulation model. To compare the performance of intrinsic Kriging and …Kriging provides metamodels for deterministic and random simulation models. Actually, there are several types of … estimation of the trend in the input-output data of the underlying simulation model; this estimation deteriorates the Kriging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014142481
In practice, most computers generate simulation outputs sequentially, so it is attractive to analyze these outputs … sequential estimator. We present a sequence of Monte Carlo experiments for quantifying the performance of these SPRTs. In … experiment #1 the simulation outputs are normal. This experiment suggests that Wald (1945)’s SPRT with estimated variance gives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123395
This paper studies simulation-based optimization with multiple outputs. It assumes that the simulation model has one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049484
This article reviews so-called screening in simulation; i.e., it examines the search for the really important factors … in experiments with simulation models that have very many factors (or inputs).The article focuses on a most e¢ cient and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050440