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Climate uncertainty and carbon emissions prices : the relative roles of transition and physical climate risks
Ozturk, Serda Selin; Demirer, Rıza; Gupta, Rangan - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012939919
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The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MSVAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536
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The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324
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Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the long-run US-UK stock market correlation
Asgharian, Hossein; Christiansen, Charlotte; Gupta, Rangan - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541711
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Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks on the Long-Run US-UK Stock Market Correlation
Asgharian, Hossein - 2020
We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the long-run stock market variances and correlations, primarily for the US and the UK. We find that US EPU shocks affect both US and UK stock market long-run variances and correlation, but UK EPU shocks only affect its own...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855094
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The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the comovement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom
Cepni, Oguzhan; Marfatia, Hardik A.; Gupta, Rangan - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661143
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Policy uncertainty and stock market volatility revisited : the predictive role of signal quality
Salisu, Afees A.; Demirer, Rıza; Gupta, Rangan - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 8, pp. 2307-2321
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432898
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Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981032
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Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash
Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
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Uncertainty and economic activity : a global perspective
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2014
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics. This paper studies the interrelation between financial markets volatility and economic activity assuming that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286232