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Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy; Accuracy is (Still) a Matter of Geography

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel; Berger, Helge - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006

Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multicountry, multicultural, and multilingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand and to anticipate monetary policy by the European Central...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825754

Central Bank communication and monetary policy: a survey of theory and evidence

Blinder, Alan S.; Ehrmann, Michael; de Haan, Jakob; … - European Central Bank - 2008

Over the last two decades, communication has become an increasingly important aspect of monetary policy. These real-world developments have spawned a huge new scholarly literature on central bank communication —mostly empirical, and almost all of it written in this decade. We survey this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530856

The timing of central bank communication

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - European Central Bank - 2005

This paper explores whether there are systematic patterns as to when members of the decision-making committees of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank communicate with the public, and under what circumstances such communication has the ability to move financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816134

Unchartered Territory: Large-Scale Asset Purchases by the European Central Bank

Bernoth, Kerstin; König, Philipp; Raab, Carolin; … - In: DIW Economic Bulletin 5 (2015) 13, pp. 189-198

The European Central Bank (ECB) decided at its Council meeting in January to implement a comprehensive program to purchase bonds, including euro area government bonds. The purchases are intended to anchor the rate of inflation and inflation expectations at below but close to two percent again....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210502

Unbekanntes Terrain: Anleihekäufe der Europäischen Zentralbank

Bernoth, Kerstin; König, Philipp; Raab, Carolin; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 82 (2015) 13, pp. 307-316

countries' preparedness for reforms. Auf ihrer Ratssitzung im Januar beschloss die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) ein umfassendes …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210504

Inflationserwartungen im Euroraum sind nicht mehr fest verankert: neue Maßnahmen der EZB-Geldpolitik

Bernoth, Kerstin; Fratzscher, Marcel; König, Philipp; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 81 (2014) 37, pp. 856-867

Zentralbank (EZB) seit Jahren einen expansiv ausgerichteten geldpolitischen Kurs verfolgt, ist die Preisentwicklung im Euroraum … das Risiko, in eine Deflation abzurutschen. Zwar hat die Zentralbank im Juni negative Einlagezinsen eingeführt sowie zur … expansive Geldpolitik braucht dringend Unterstützung von Seiten der Wirtschaftspolitik, um in Europa ein dynamisches …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266562

Do China and oil exporters influence major currency configurations?

Fratzscher, Marcel; Mehl, Arnaud - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas - 2009

This paper analyses the impact of the shift away from a U.S. dollar focus of systemically important emerging market economies (EMEs) on configurations between the U.S. dollar, the euro and the yen. Given the difficulty that fixed or managed U.S. dollar exchange rate regimes remain pervasive and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367955

Explaining monetary policy in press conferences

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - European Central Bank - 2007

The question how best to communicate monetary policy decisions remains a highly topical issue among central banks. Focusing on the experience of the European Central Bank, this paper studies how explanations of monetary policy decisions at press conferences are perceived by financial markets....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344820

Capital Flow Policies, Monetary Policy and Coordination

Fratzscher, Marcel - Reserve Bank of Australia

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815219

Asymmetric Monetary Policy Effects in Germany

Kuzin, Vladimir; Tober, Silke - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2004

In a small structural model we find asymmetries in the effects of monetary policy in Germany depending on whether the economy is in an upswing or a downswing. These two different regimes are also identified using a Markov-switching model and the Kalman filter. Our results indicate that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963955