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Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules
Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063951
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Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules
Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034314
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Global liquidity, world savings glut and global policy coordination
Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2010
drivers of asset prices are global liquidity conditions. Central banks flooded the markets with ample liquidity. Mopping up … this excess liquidity will be one major task for central banks worldwide, which needs to be done in a coordinated fashion …. Moreover, our analysis has shown that liquidity will first show up in asset price inflation and only later in consumer goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003934687
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Financial crisis, global liquidity and monetary exit strategies
Belke, Ansgar - 2010
vagabonding global liquidity, there is a strong case for globally coordinating monetary exit strategies. Given unsurmountable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003958646
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Finanzkrise, globale Liquidität und makroökonomischer Exit
Belke, Ansgar; Schnabl, Gunther - 2010
task - the coordination of the non-exit is more likely than the coordination of the exit. -- Geldpolitik ; Fiskalpolitik …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855893
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Financial crisis, global liquidity and monetary exit strategies
Belke, Ansgar - 2010
vagabonding global liquidity, there is a strong case for globally coordinating monetary exit strategies. Given unsurmountable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961040
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Finanzkrise, globale Liquidität und makroökonomischer Exit
Belke, Ansgar; Schnabl, Gunther - 2010
A series of crises and emergency interest rate cuts has brought global interest rates towards zero and government debt to historical records. The paper discusses the exit options from unconventional monetary policies and unsustainable government debt. First, the paper sheds light on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008748343
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The impact of uncertainty on macro variables : an SVAR-based empirical analysis for EU countries
Belke, Ansgar; Kronen, Dominik - 2017
In light of the rising political and economic uncertainty in Europe, we aim to provide a basic understanding of the impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty on a set of macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662699
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The impact of uncertainty on macro variables : an SVAR-based empirical analysis for EU countries
Belke, Ansgar; Kronen, Dominik - 2017
In light of the rising political and economic uncertainty in Europe, we aim to provide a basic understanding of the impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty on a set of macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761787
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How much fiscal backing must the ECB have? : the euro area is not the Philippines
Belke, Ansgar - 2010
The ECB has accepted increasing amounts of rubbish collateral since the crisis started leading to exposure to serious private sector credit risk (i.e. default risk) on its collateralised lending and reverse operations ("repo"). This has led some commentators to argue that the ECB needs "fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208780