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Fiscal stimulus packages and uncertainty in times of crisis : the option of waiting can be valuable, though!
Belke, Ansgar (contributor) - 2009
Policymakers in the EU member states are currently shaping rescue packages to prevent the financial crisis hitting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811803
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The importance of global shocks for national policymakers : rising challenges for central banks
Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009
We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879570
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The importance of global shocks for national policy makers : rising challenges for central banks
Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009
We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003884937
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Instability of the Eurozone? : On monetary policy, house prices and labor market reforms
Belke, Ansgar (contributor); Gros, Daniel (contributor) - 2007
"This paper deals with potential instabilities in the Eurozone stemming from an insufficient interplay between monetary policy and reform effort on the one hand and the emergence of intra-Euro area divergences on the other. As a first step, we assess the effect of EMU on structural reform and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003429626
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The importance of global shocks for national policymakers : rising challenges for central banks
Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2010 - This version: February 12, 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008907407
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Exports and capacity constraints : evidence for several euro area countries
Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2015
We argue that, under certain conditions, firms consider exports as a substitute for domestic demand. Our econometric model for six euro area countries suggests domestic demand and capacity constraints as additional variables for export equations. We apply the exponential and logistic variant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300368
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The importance of global shocks for national policymakers : rising challenges for central banks
Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009
We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207060
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European monetary policy and the ECB rotation model voting power of the core versus the periphery
Belke, Ansgar; Schnurbein, Barbara von - 2010
We analyze the ECB Governing Council’s voting procedures. The literature has by now discussed numerous aspects of the rotation model but does not account for many institutional aspects of the voting procedure of the GC. Using the randomization scheme based on the multilinear extension (MLE) of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208783
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The economic impact of Brexit : evidence from modelling free trade agreements
Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2017
between the UK and the EU27 is large and of a similar order of magnitude as transatlantic trade (between the EU and the US …). The precise nature of the (hopefully free) trade agreement UK-EU-27 is still being negotiated. But all available studies … concur that a significant disruption of trade links will impose economic costs on both sides. However, the EU27 would bear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662701
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Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules
Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2019
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules - the Taylor-Rule and the Orphanides-Rule - with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results from estimated models and augmented rules are compared....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063951