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How should large and small countries be represented in a currency union?
Berger, Helge; Müller, Till - 2004
The likely extension of the euro area has triggered a debate on the organization of the ECB, in particular on the apparent mismatch between relative economic size and voting rights in the Council. We present a simple model of optimal representation in a federal central bank addressing this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009303502
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How should large and small countries be represented in a currency union?
Berger, Helge; Mueller, Till - 2004
The likely extension of the euro area has triggered a debate on the organization of the ECB, in particular on the apparent mismatch between relative economic size and voting rights in the Council. We present a simple model of optimal representation in a federal central bank addressing this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261091
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How Should Large and Small Countries Be Represented in a Currency Union?
Berger, Helge; Mueller, Till - 2021
The likely extension of the euro area has triggered a debate on the organization of the ECB, in particular on the apparent mismatch between relative economic size and voting rights in the Council. We present a simple model of optimal representation in a federal central bank addressing this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318847
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Does Conservatism Matter? A Time Series Approach to Central Banking
Berger, Helge; Woitek, Ulrich - 2021
The empirical literature on central banking has found measures of central bank independence/conservatism to be … and conservatism. We present results from a single-country time series model for the German Bundesbank that avoids these … shortfalls. We find that an increase in central bank conservatism leads to higher short-term interest rates and a more activist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320935
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Does money matter in the ECB strategy? New evidence based on ECB communication
Berger, Helge; de Haan, Jakob; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2006
We examine the role of money in the policies of the ECB, using introductory statements of the ECB President at the monthly press conferences during 1999-2004. Over time, the relative amount of words devoted to the monetary analysis has decreased. Our analysis of indicators of the monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299092
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Forecasting ECB monetary policy: accuracy is (still) a matter of geography
Berger, Helge; Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - 2006
Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multi-country, multi-cultural, and multi-lingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand and to anticipate monetary policy by the ECB? Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299102
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Central Bank boards around the world: Why does membership size differ?
Berger, Helge; Nitsch, Volker; Lybek, Tonny - 2008
This paper analyzes empirically differences in the size of central bank boards (or monetary policy committees) across countries. We discuss the possible determinants of a board's size. The empirical relevance of these factors is examined using a new dataset that covers the de jure membership...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299135
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Too many cooks? Committees in monetary policy
Berger, Helge; Nitsch, Volker - 2008
How many people should decide about monetary policy? In this paper, we take an empirical perspective on this issue, analyzing the relationship between the number of monetary policy decisionmakers and monetary policy outcomes. Using a new data set that characterizes Monetary Policy Committees...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299138
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Does money matter for U.S. inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs
Berger, Helge; Österholm, Pär - 2008
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299139
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Does money growth granger-cause inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from output-of-sample forecasts using Bayesian VARs
Berger, Helge; Österholm, Pär - 2008
We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly strong evidence that including money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140