Showing 1 - 10 of 45
Out-of-sample forecasting tests of DSGE models against time-series benchmarks such as an unrestricted VAR are … improve forecasts from an unrestricted VAR. In testing forecasting capacity they also have quite weak power, particularly on … improve on VAR forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504446
In this paper we investigate the role of news shocks in aggregate fluctuations by comparing the empirical performance of models with and without the feature of the news shocks. We found a trivial difference between the two models. That is, the model with news shocks explains the variation as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787141
This paper analyses the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in a small open economy like Norway through structural VARs, paying particular attention to the interdependence between the monetary policy stance and exchange rate movements in the inflation-targeting period. Previous studies of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284259
We estimate the interdependence between US monetary policy and the S&P 500 using structural VAR methodology. A solution … shocks are orthogonal to the information set in the VAR model and can be interpreted as non-fundamental shocks. We attribute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284471
Dornbusch’s exchange rate overshooting hypothesis is a central building block in international macroeconomics. Yet, empirical studies of monetary policy have typically found exchange rate effects that are inconsistent with overshooting. This puzzling result has developed into a “styled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284488
We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments and other features with data equivalents. We note that they select, scale and characterise the shocks without reference to the data; crucially they fail to use the joint distribution of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288773
We calibrate a standard New Keynesian model with three alternative representations of monetary policy- an optimal timeless rule, a Taylor rule and another with interest rate smoothing- with the aim of testing which if any can match the data according to the method of indirect inference. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288782
there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288793
We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments with data moments. We compare these with the method of Indirect Inference to which they are closely related. We illustrate the comparison with contrasting assessments of a two-country model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288836
We evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US dynamically using indirect inference with a VAR representation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288839