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The myth of Methuselah and the uncertainty of death : the mortality fan charts

Dowd, Kevin; Blake, David; Cairns, Andrew - In: Risks : open access journal 4 (2016) 3, pp. 1-7

This paper uses mortality fan charts to illustrate prospective future male mortality. These fan charts show both the most likely path of male mortality and the bands of uncertainty surrounding that path. The fan charts are based on a model of male mortality that is known to provide a good fit to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507620