Price level targeting (without base drift) and inflation targeting (with base drift) are compared under commitment and discretion, with persistence in unemployment. Price level targeting is often said to imply more short-run inflation variability and thereby more employment variability than...

Price level targeting (without base drift) and inflation targeting (with base drift) are compared under commitment and discretion, with persistence in unemployment. Price level targeting is often said to imply more short-run inflation variability and thereby more employment variability than...

We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes : simple...

“Forecast targeting,” forward-looking monetary policy that uses central-bank judgment to construct optimal policy projections of the target variables and the instrument rate, may perform substantially better than monetary policy that disregards judgment and follows a given instrument rule....

We show how to construct optimal policy projections in Ramses, the Riksbank’s openeconomy medium-sized DSGE model for forecasting and policy analysis. Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the model indicates that they are relatively invariant to alternative policy assumptions and supports...

This paper specifies a new convenient algorithm to construct policy projections conditional on alternative anticipated policy-rate paths in linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, such as Ramses, the Riksbank's main DSGE model. Such projections with anticipated...

The purpose of the paper is to survey and discuss inflation targeting in the context of monetary policy rules. The paper provides a general conceptual discussion of monetary policy rules, attempts to clarify the essential characteristics of inflation targeting, compares inflation targeting to...

The consumer price index stood at 0.6% in October 2013 (against 0.5% in October 2012), having shown a 0.4 p.p. increase as compared to September 2013. Therefore inflation increased more than 6.3% on a year-over-year basis at the end of the 10-month period. In the first 18 days of November 2013...

In September 2013, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) amounted to 0.2% (against 0.6% in September 2012), which is by 0.1 pp. higher than its value recorded in August 2013. Thus, the inflation rate in per annum terms, as seen by the results of the first 9 months of 2013, increased above 6.1%. Over...

In August 2013, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) amounted to 0.1% (same as its level in August 2012), which is by 0.7 pp. lower than its value recorded in July 2013. Thus, the inflation rate in per annum terms, as seen by the results of the first 8 months of 2013, increased above 6.5%. Over the...