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Relationships among Prices across Alternative Marketing Arrangements for Fed Cattle and Hogs

Lee, Yoonsuk; Ward, Clement E.; Brorsen, B. Wade - Southern Agricultural Economics Association - SAEA - 2010

Reduced reliance on cash market prices for fed cattle and hogs raise questions about the role of cash prices in price discovery. We use seven years of weekly data from mandatory price reports to determine whether or not cash market prices are cointegrated with other procurement prices and then...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922567

THE INFORMATION CONTENT OF IMPLIED VOLATILITY FROM OPTIONS ON AGRICULTURAL FUTURES CONTRACTS

Manfredo, Mark R.; Sanders, Dwight R. - 2002

Agricultural risk managers need forecasts of price volatility that are accurate and meaningful. This is especially true given the greater emphasis on firm level risk measurement and management (e.g., Value-at-Risk and Enterprise Risk Management). Implied volatility is known to provide a readily...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442962

Price Discovery in Private Cash Forward Markets - The Case of Lumber

Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - 2005

Cash forward contracting is a common, and often preferred, means of managing price risk for agribusinesses. Despite this, little is known about the performance of cash forward markets, in particular the role they play in price discovery. The lumber market provides a unique case for examining...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442968

CASH MARKETING STYLES AND PERFORMANCE PERSISTENCE OF WHEAT PRODUCERS

Cunningham, Lewis T.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Anderson, Kim B. - 2004

paper first measures the extent to which producers display an active or mechanical marketing style using individual farmer … sales. Next, tests of performance persistence are conducted to determine if there is any advantage to an active marketing … style. The results show that southern Oklahoma wheat producers tend to have a mechanical marketing style, while at other …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442970

GENERALIZED HEDGE RATIO ESTIMATION WITH AN UNKNOWN MODEL

Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; Sanders, Dwight R. - 2004

Myers and Thompson (1989) pioneered the concept of a generalized approach to estimating hedge ratios, pointing out that the model specification could have a large impact on the hedge ratio estimated. While a huge empirical literature exists on estimating hedge ratios, the literature is lacking a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442973

INCREASING THE ACCURACY OF OPTION PRICING BY USING IMPLIED PARAMETERS RELATED TO HIGHER MOMENTS

Ji, Dasheng; Brorsen, B. Wade - 2000

The inaccuracy of the Black-Scholes formula arises from two aspects: the formula is for European options while most real option contracts are American; the formula is based on the assumption that underlying asset prices follow a lognormal distribution while in the real world asset prices cannot...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443000

DOES THE CFTC COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS REPORT CONTAIN USEFUL INFORMATION?

Sanders, Dwight R.; Boris, Keith - 2000

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's Commitments of Traders data are examined. Non-commercial positions are thought to contain the least amount of measurement error. Although non-commercials comprise a relatively small percent of the tested markets' open interest (10% to 22%), they have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443007

Optimal Length of Moving Average to Forecast Futures Basis

Hatchett, Robert B.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Anderson, Kim B. - 2009

Futures prices when combined with a basis forecast provide a reliable way to forecast cashprices. The most popular method of forecasting basis is historical moving averages. Given therecent failure of longer moving averages proposed by previous studies, this research reassessespast...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446394

Devil or Angel? The Role of Speculation in the Recent Commodity Price Boom (and Bust)

Irwin, Scott H.; Sanders, Dwight R.; Merrin, Robert P. - 2009

It is commonly asserted that speculative buying by index funds in commodity futures andover–the–counter derivatives markets created a ‘‘bubble’’ in commodity prices, with the resultthat prices, and crude oil prices, in particular, far exceeded fundamental values at the peak.The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446398

Transition to electronic trading of Kansas City Board of Trade wheat futures

Shah, Samarth; Brorsen, B. Wade - 2010

This study compares liquidity costs and other characteristics of electronic and open outcry hard red winter wheat futures contracts traded on the Kansas City Board of Trade. Liquidity costs are considerably lower in the electronic market than in the open outcry market. A new approach is used to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446522