Showing 1 - 10 of 12
Modern economies have been subjected to a number of shocks during the past several years such as the burst of the Internet bubble, terrorist attacks, corporate scandals, the war in Iraq, the uncertainty about energy prices, and the recent subprime mortgage crisis. In particular, during the last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014210504
We investigate mean and volatility spillovers between the crude oil market and the main biofuel feedstock markets (corn, soybean, and sugar). In doing so, we estimate a four-variable vector error correction (VEC) GARCH-in-Mean model with a BEKK representation for the variance equation, and also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915231
In this paper we use monthly data (over the period from January 1976 to December 2012) and a structural VAR model to disentangle demand and supply shocks in the global crude oil market and investigate their effects on the real price of natural gas in the United States. We identify the model by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965344
We use the highest frequency data that have ever been studied before to investigate the relationship between the price of oil and stock market returns. In the context of a bivariate (identified using heteroscedasticity in daily data) structural VAR in stock market returns and the change in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890813
We investigate whether the United States economy responds negatively to oil price uncertainty and whether oil price shocks exert asymmetric effects on economic activity. In doing so, we relax the assumption in the existing literature that the data are governed by a single process, modifying the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896506
Energy security, climate change, and growing energy demand issues are moving up on the global political agenda, and contribute to the rapid growth of the renewable energy sector. In this paper we investigate the effects of oil price shocks, and also of uncertainty about oil prices, on the stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943505
A well-documented finding is that explicitly using jumps cannot efficiently enhance the predictability of crude oil price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272635
This study investigates the role of oil futures price information on forecasting the US stock market volatility using the HAR framework. In-sample results indicate that oil futures intraday information is helpful to increase the predictability. Moreover, compared to the benchmark model, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206077
This paper analyzes the conditional correlations between the stock market returns of countries that are members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). The innovative aspects of the paper consist of focusing on three volatility indices: the oil (OVX), gold (GVZ), and S&P500 (VIX) markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302563
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011752693