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We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304970
In a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework, with sticky prices, the cross sectional distribution of output and inflation across a population of firms is studied. The only form of heterogeneity is confined to the probability that the ith changes its prices in response to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003844356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991193
An unexpected increase in life expectancy has implications for private pensions (annuities). These can be offset by reducing pension payments, cross-subsidization of the pension payments, risk-taking of insurance companies or combining these policies. An empirical study of the German market of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014119774
We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295798
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789432
The paper analyses the recent supply side developments in France, Germany, and Italy by employing a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304964
used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315444
the power of our approach with the analysis of trust and trustworthiness in Germany by combining representative survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009499937
We use a machine-learning approach known as Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) to reexamine the usefulness of selected leading indicators for predicting recessions. We estimate the BRT approach on German data and study the relative importance of the indicators and their marginal effects on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381289