Showing 1 - 10 of 134
This paper examines the consequences of using "real-time" data for business cycle analysis in Germany based on a novel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295638
We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295798
trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003729690
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789432
The paper analyses the recent supply side developments in France, Germany, and Italy by employing a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304964
We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304970
used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315444
We use a machine-learning approach known as Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) to reexamine the usefulness of selected leading indicators for predicting recessions. We estimate the BRT approach on German data and study the relative importance of the indicators and their marginal effects on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381289
Based on annual data for growth and inflation forecasts for Germany covering the time span from 1970 to 2007 and up to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425865
European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426367