This paper provides estimates of the economic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the period 2012-2030. Our estimates are derived using WHO's EPIC model of economic growth, which focuses on the negative effects of NCDs on labor supply and capital accumulation. We...

The purpose of this article is to identify the role of population size, population growth and population ageing in models of endogenous economic growth. While in exogenous growth models demographic variables are linked to economic prosperity mainly via the population size, the structure of the...

Persistent low fertility rates lead to lower population growth rates and eventually also to decreasing population sizes in most industrialized countries. There are fears that this demographic development is associated with declines in per capita GDP and possibly also increasing inequality of the...

We consider an endogenous growth model with Blanchard-Yaari-type overlapping generations that is built around four sectors: final and intermediate goods production, an R&D sector and a health care sector. Health care serves to lower mortality and morbidity, the latter being related to...

Das DIW Berlin rechnet für 2010 und 2011 mit einem Wachstum des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts von 1,7 und 1,8 Prozent. Damit setzt die deutsche Wirtschaft ihren moderaten Erholungskurs der vergangenen Quartale fort. Zwar hat die Produktion im Winter überraschenderweise nur stagniert, dies ist...

Das DIW Berlin prognostiziert für die deutsche Wirtschaft im Jahr 2011 ein Wachstum von 2,2 Prozent, im Jahr 2012 werden es 1,3 Prozent sein. Im Jahr 2010 dürfte die deutsche Wirtschaft um 3,7 Prozent gewachsen sein. Das rasante Tempo, mit dem sich die deutsche Volkswirtschaft von der...