The paper argues that persistent current account surpluses and increasing foreign currency-denominated asset positions constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For...

The pressure on the Chinese government to appreciate the Chinese yuan is large. Since the start of the dollar's sustained depreciation in early 2002 the western industrialized countries including Japan argue that China's fixed peg is equivalent to a mercantilist trade policy. From the Chinese...

This paper studies the role of the yen/dollar exchange rate in the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy reaction function. In contrast to prior estimations of reaction functions based on the Taylor-rule, we allow for regime shifts by estimating rolling coefficients from January 1974 to March 1999....