In this paper, we extend the concept of mutual exclusivity proposed by Dhaene and Denuit (1999) to its tail counterpart and baptise this new dependency structure as tail mutual exclusivity. Probability levels are first specified for each component of the random vector. Under this dependency...

The computation of various risk metrics is essential to the quantitative risk management of variable annuity guaranteed benefits. The current market practice of Monte Carlo simulation often requires intensive computations, which can be very costly for insurance companies to implement and take so...

In this paper, we assess the magnitude of model uncertainty of credit risk portfolio models, i.e., what is the maximum and minimum Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a portfolio of risky loans that can be justi ed given a certain amount of available information. Puccetti and Ruschendorf (2012a) and...

We derive lower and upper bounds for the Value-at-Risk of a portfolio of losses when the marginal distributions are known and independence among (some) subgroups of the marginal components is assumed. We provide several actuarial examples showing that the newly proposed bounds strongly improve...

The computation of various risk metrics is essential to the quantitative risk management of variable annuity guaranteed benefits. The current market practice of Monte Carlo simulation often requires intensive computations, which can be very costly for insurance companies to implement and take so...

The study of worst-case scenarios for risk measures (e.g., Value-at-Risk) when the underlying risk (or portfolio of risks) is not completely specified is a central topic in the literature on robust risk measurement. In this paper, we tackle the open problem of deriving upper bounds for strictly...