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A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by Rational Expectations was the "Lucas Critique," which showed that expectation parameters, and endogenous variable dynamics, depend on policy parameters. We consider this issue from the vantage point of a bounded rationality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635099
Cooperation problems are at the heart of many everyday situations. In this paper, we propose a very simple and light-handed mechanism to sustain cooperation and test its performance in a rich laboratory environment. The mechanism moderates cooperation by controlling experiences, more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281841
Cooperation problems are at the heart of many everyday situations. In this paper, we propose a very simple and light-handed mechanism to sustain cooperation and test its performance in a rich laboratory environment. The mechanism moderates cooperation by controlling experiences, more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007141
This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223070
A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by Rational Expectations was the "Lucas Critique," which showed that expectation parameters, and endogenous variable dynamics, depend on policy parameters. We consider this issue from the vantage point of bounded rationality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014119224
This paper develops an adaptive learning formulation of an extension to the Ball, Mankiw and Reis (2005) sticky …'s preferences for price vs. output stability, the learning process can converge to a new equilibrium in which both output and price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196104
This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593745
Incorporating adaptive learning into macroeconomics requires assumptions about how agents incorporate their forecasts … into their decision-making. We develop a theory of bounded rationality that we call finite-horizon learning. This approach … generalizes the two existing benchmarks in the literature: Euler-equation learning, which assumes that consumption decisions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010676184
psychology of learning, and work form social scientists on learning.The paper makes the following claim: typically the law … reaches its addressees indirectly. The law is not followed, it is learned. There are two distinct learning objects. Throughout … take the form of schema-like social mirror rules, or of exemplars.Learning also is the key to understanding how individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324009
psychology of learning, and work form social scientists on learning.The paper makes the following claim: typically the law … reaches its addressees indirectly. The law is not followed, it is learned. There are two distinct learning objects. Throughout … take the form of schema-like social mirror rules, or of exemplars.Learning also is the key to understanding how individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582792