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This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly is one of the best, if not the best, books ever written on the history of financial crises. It presents a comprehensive survey of financial crises utilizing an extraordinary database of macroeconomic and financial series. The massive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008900898
The global economy is currently expanding at a moderate pace, albeit with considerable differences in momentum across … countries. The economy in the United States is still growing at robust rates, whereas the euro area is in a phase of stagnation … inflation rates are not expected to fall sustainably close to the target levels again until 2025. Risks for the global economy …
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report three major findings: First, since the tightening cycle will take place in the context of a robust U.S. economy, it …
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Following four years of relative stability at around $105 per barrel, oil prices have declined sharply since June 2014. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the sources of the recent decline in prices, and examines its macroeconomic, financial and policy implications. The recent drop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512500
, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175348
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
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