Showing 1 - 10 of 17
We propose in this article a general time series model, whose components are modelled in terms of fractionally integrated processes. This specification allows us to consider the trend, the seasonal and the cyclical components as stochastic processes, including the unit root models as particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770707
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314848
This paper considers a general model which allows for both deterministic and stochastic forms of seasonality, including fractional (stationary and nonstationary) orders of integration, and also incorporating endogenously determined structural breaks. Monte Carlo analysis shows that the suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317060
This paper introduces a multivariate long-memory model with structural breaks. In the proposed framework, time series exhibit possibly fractional orders of integration which are allowed to be different in each subsample. The break date is endogenously determined using a procedure which minimises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317169
This paper examines the PPP hypothesis analysing the behaviour of the real exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar for four major currencies (namely, the Canadian dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen and the British pound). An innovative approach based on fractional integration in a multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158955
We propose the use of a version of the tests of Robinson [Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89 (1994) 1420] for testing the order of integration in raw time series in the presence of structural breaks at known periods of time. Also, a joint test for simultaneously testing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070370
This paper analyses the stochastic behaviour of Private Equity returns (a measure of profitability) applying fractional integration methods to an extensive dataset including quarterly data spanning the last four decades for various geographical areas (US, Europe, Asia/Pacific, the Rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080230
This paper employs a comprehensive set of “state-of-the-art” unit root tests, including the autoregressive neural network (ARNN) unit root test (Yaya et al. 2021; Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics), to investigate unemployment hysteresis in five European countries: France, Italy, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080991
This paper initiates a non-linear fractional unit root test also known as autoregressive neural network–fractional integration (ARNN–FI) test. The test is based on a new multilayer perceptron of a neural network process which is applied in Yaya et al. (2021). Further, to investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080994
This paper examines the degree of persistence in the volatility of financial time series using a Long Memory Stochastic Volatility (LMSV) model. Specifically, it employs a Gaussian semiparametric (or local Whittle) estimator of the memory parameter, based on the frequency domain, proposed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141135